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From Townhall.com… True or False
By Walter E. Williams
So many statements we accept as true, plausible or beyond question; but
are they? Let's look at a couple of important ones: global warming and
U.S. manufacturing decline.
In 2000, Dr. David Viner of University of East Anglia's disgraced
Climatic Research Unit advised, "Within a few years winter snowfall
will become a very rare and exciting event." "Children just aren't
going to know what snow is." Britain's Meteorological Office said this
December was "almost certain" to become the coldest since records began
in 1910. Paul Michaelwaite, forecaster for NetWeather.tv, said, "It is
looking like this winter could be in the top 20 cold winters in the
last 100 years."
In reference to the last decade of the Earth's cooling, geologist Dr.
Don J. Easterbrook, emeritus professor at Western Washington
University, says, "Recent solar changes suggest that it could be fairly
severe, perhaps more like the 1880 to 1915 cool cycle than the more
moderate 1945-1977 cool cycle. A more drastic cooling, similar to that
during the Dalton and Maunder minimums, could plunge the Earth into
another Little Ice Age, but only time will tell if that is likely."
Global warming hype is nothing less than a gambit for more government
control over our lives.
How about statements like these: "The United States got to where it is
today by making things." "There's nothing made here anymore."
"One-third of the nation's manufacturing jobs have vanished in the past
decade." These statements suggest that we are no longer the world's top
manufacturer; we have all but turned into a nation of "hamburger
flippers."
According to data assembled by Dr. Mark Perry, in his article in The
American (12/23/2009) titled "Manufacturing's Death Greatly
Exaggerated," "For the year 2008, the Federal Reserve estimates that
the value of U.S. manufacturing output was about $3.7 trillion." If the
U.S. manufacturing sector were a separate economy, with its own GDP, it
would be tied with Germany as the world's fourth richest economy. The
2008 GDPs were: U.S. ($14.2 trillion), Japan ($4.9 trillion), China
($4.3 trillion), U.S. manufacturing ($3.7 trillion), Germany ($3.7
trillion), France ($2.9 trillion) and the United Kingdom ($2.7
trillion).
U.S. manufacturing employment peaked at 19.5 million jobs in 1979.
Since 1979, the manufacturing workforce has shrunk by 40 percent, and
there's every indication that manufacturing employment will continue to
shrink. Because of automation, the U.S. worker is now three times as
productive as in 1980 and twice as productive as in 2000. It's
productivity gains, rather than outsourcing and imports, that explains
most of our manufacturing job loss.
U.S. manufacturing is going through the same kind of labor-saving
technological innovation as agriculture. In 1790, farmers were 90
percent of the U.S. labor force. By 1900, only about 41 percent of our
labor force was employed in agriculture. By 2008, less than 3 percent
of Americans were employed in agriculture. What would you have had
Congress do in the face of this precipitous loss of agricultural jobs?
Should Congress have outlawed all of the technological advances and
machinery that cost millions of agricultural jobs and made our farmers
the world's most productive? Also, had Congress done something to save
those agricultural jobs, where would we have gotten the workers to
produce the millions of things we enjoy that weren't even around in
1790? We would have been poorer.
Let's not stop with agriculture. In 1970, the telecommunications
industry employed 421,000 workers, in good-paying jobs as switchboard
operators, handling 9.8 billion long-distance calls yearly. Today, the
telecommunications industry employs fewer than 60,000 operators, and
they handle more than 100 billion long-distance calls yearly. That's an
85 percent job loss. The spectacular advances in telecommunications,
which raised productivity, made the cost of long-distance calls a tiny
fraction of what they were.
What we're witnessing in many of our industries is what economic
historian Joseph Schumpeter called "creative destruction." The
adjustment to it can be painful, but to stand in its way will make us a
poorer nation.
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