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U.S. News & World Report
Ryan Gets It Right
Dynamic scoring would show which tax changes are actually the most beneficial.
By Pete Sepp
Oct. 28, 2014

It’s a week before the election, and Washington can’t seem to get enough of “what if” scenarios. One has to do with the long-overdue task of reforming our nation’s hopelessly burdensome, complex tax code.

In a speech before the Financial Services Roundtable, House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan, R-Wisc., persuasively argued that switching to “dynamic scoring” rules – which take into account possible economic growth and the resulting higher revenues that tax reform brings – could help Congress get the job done. And the speculation goes that if Republicans win control of the Senate, the idea could gain more traction in that chamber too.

Regardless of the partisan environment, dynamic scoring is a smart approach that all policymakers should embrace. But what kind of tax law changes, specifically, would show up in the dynamic scoring methodology as among the most beneficial? Many would qualify, though they certainly would include provisions that recognize the value of capital investments, avoid double-taxation of income (especially foreign earnings), don’t punish job creation, allow simple, immediate expensing and treat all industries as uniformly as possible.

If only the Obama administration and its allies in Congress would bear these principles in mind, particularly when it comes to one of their favorite political targets for discriminatory tax policy: the oil and gas sector. As a report released just last week from the minority staff of the Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works indicates, the benefits from this industry’s “energy renaissance” have spread far and wide throughout the economy. The twin technologies of horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing in the U.S. are, according to the authors, “revitalizing our manufacturing sector,” “stabilizing prices worldwide,” “making significant reductions to our trade deficit,” and shielding “our citizens from the devastating energy poverty impacts being felt in European countries.”

There are other practical advantages to this revolution. For example, the report noted that in fiscal year 2012, public school districts saved almost $741 million in electricity costs and nearly $467 million for natural gas. Taking away oil and gas’s deductions, credits and other treatments that the tax system affords in various ways to other businesses would jeopardize this progress.

But even before the Senate’s report was released, there were many ways to quantify the salutary impact of the energy boom. From 2007 to 2012, employment growth in the oil and gas sector beat job gains in all other sectors of the economy, according to the Energy Information Administration. In 2011 alone, this area created 148,000 new jobs and supported 9.8 million positions, according to a PricewaterhouseCoopers report. Additional job growth is expected as the energy sector, particularly shale, continues to expand with the McKinsey Global Institute predicting the possibility of up to 1.7 million new jobs.

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