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Human Events
Facing a Changing World Balance, Obama Makes Odd Choices
Michael Barone
Friday Jun 26, 2015

Is the world back to where it was around the year 1800? One could come to that conclusion after reading British historian John Darwin’s recent book “After Tamerlane,” which assesses the rises and falls of empires after the death in 1405 of the famously bloodthirsty Muslim Mongol monarch.

From his Central Asian base, Tamerlane conquered Persia and lands from Egypt to India, destroying captured cities and piling up enormous piles of skulls. His fame has endured, from Christopher Marlowe’s Elizabethan play to the first name of the slain Boston Marathon bomber.

Darwin’s perspective is worldwide, with as much emphasis on East Asia, South Asia, the Islamic world and Russia as on Western Europe and its American offshoots. He argues that from the 1400s to about 1800, China, India and the Islamic world were about as economically and technologically advanced and culturally sophisticated as that little set of peninsulas at the western edge of the Eurasian land mass called Europe.

In this view, European traders and armies played only a small, mostly offshore role beyond their homelands. European dominance started not with Christopher Columbus and Vasco da Gama but when the British East India Company started conquering India and North American settlers started moving west of the Appalachians.      

Today you could make the argument that the major regions of the world are reverting to the balance that prevailed until the 19th century, when Europe and the United States suddenly started dominating the world.

That’s certainly the view of China’s leaders and, as far as one can judge, of the Chinese people. China was riven by civil wars and foreign interventions between the Taiping Rebellion, which started in 1850, and the death of Mao Zedong in 1976. Its surging economic growth since then and its increasing military might, in this view, have simply restored it to the eminence it enjoyed at the time of the Qianlong emperor’s death in 1799.

President Barack Obama’s “pivot to Asia” is an attempt to cabin in China’s power without establishing a NATO-like military alliance — impossible because of distrust between Japan and its neighbors. The Trans-Pacific trade agreement — made possible by Republican congressional leaders’ smart maneuvering to outflank congressional Democrats and pass trade promotion authority — is an attempt to bind China’s pro-American neighbors together and limit China’s influence...

Read the rest of the article at Human Events



 
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