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Rasmussen Reports...
What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls
Saturday, April 23, 2011

It was a week for looking back, but when Americans did look ahead, they didn’t like much of what they saw.

A year ago last Wednesday, an explosion at the Deepwater Horizon oil rig marked the beginning of the most devastating oil spill ever in the Gulf of Mexico. Most voters (54%) now think the cleanup from that spill has been fairly successful and appear less concerned about the long-term effect on the environment.  But voters still give low grades to both the federal government and the companies responsible for their response to the spill.

At the same time, support for deepwater oil drilling has reached its highest level since the Gulf oil spill began.  Fifty-nine percent (59%) now say deepwater drilling should be allowed. Twenty-two percent (22%) oppose deepwater drilling, while another 20% are undecided.

Support for continuing U.S. military operations in Libya is holding steady from two weeks ago after a drop-off in support from just after the mission began last month.  But voters remain almost evenly divided over U.S. military involvement in the Libyan political crisis.

However, most voters now expect the U.S. military’s role in Libya to last beyond this year.  Only 36% believe it is even somewhat likely that U.S. military involvement in Libya will be over by the end of the year. Fifty-five percent (55%) hold the opposite view and think the U.S. role is unlikely to end by December 31.

For Christians worldwide, this Easter weekend celebrates the ultimate sacrifice 2,000 years ago. Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Americans believe Jesus Christ to be the son of God who came to Earth to die for our sins and 74% believe he rose from the dead.

In addition to being Good Friday, marking the day on which Christ was crucified, this past Friday was the 42nd time that Earth Day has been celebrated. Eighteen percent (18%) planned to celebrate the occasion and Americans are closely divided over whether the informal annual holiday has raised the environmental consciousness of their fellow countrymen.  But they strongly believe improving the environment occurs on a personal level. However, just 27% of Adults say Americans are being selfish by putting their economic concerns ahead of the fight against global warming.

Speaking of economic concerns, both short and long-term confidence in the U.S. housing market continue to fall, with homeowners now expressing the highest level of pessimism in two years.  Only 39% of homeowners now think that the value of their home will go up over the next five years. In April 2009, 55% expected their house’s value to rise in five year’s time.

Just one-out-of-two Americans (50%) say their home is worth more than what they still owe on their mortgage. That’s down from 61% in December 2008.  Perhaps the most stunning data point is that even among people who bought their home more than five years ago, just 52% believe their home is worth more than the mortgage.

Only 51% now believe buying a home is a family’s best investment.  That’s down from 73% in February 2009. Just once before – in August of last year - has the belief in home ownership been this low.

At week’s end, consumer and investor confidence as measured by the Rasmussen Consumer and Investor Indexes stabilized at levels just above 2011 lows.  The indexes fell following Standard and Poor’s announcement that it has shifted the U.S. credit outlook from stable to negative.

Most voters still blame the nation’s economic problems on the George W. Bush years, but they also continue to trust their own economic judgment more than that of President Obama.

Twenty-two percent (22%) of Likely U.S. Voters now say the country is heading in the right direction.  That ties the lowest number of Obama’s presidency. Seventy percent (70%) say the country is heading down the wrong track.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of voters now think the president’s leadership style is too cooperative. That’s the highest finding since December 2009.  Only 22% believe the president is too confrontational, while 31% characterize his leadership style as about right.

As of Friday, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll found that 47% of voters at least somewhat approve of the president’s performance, while 53% disapprove.  That marks no significant change from recent weeks.

Obama leads Donald Trump by 15 percentage points – 49% to 34% - in a hypothetical 2012 match-up, but the president is unable to top the 50% level of support even against an opponent some are deriding as a joke.  Voters strongly prefer a presidential candidate with both government and private sector experience.  They also like a candidate who thinks like they do over one who can more surely win, as Scott Rasmussen explains in more detail in a new video.

Voters aren’t unhappy with just the president, though.  Ratings for Congress have fallen to the lowest level since late 2008.  Only nine percent (9%) now say Congress is doing a good or excellent job.

Republicans hold a just three-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending April 17, 2011.  That ties the narrowest gap between the two in months.

One continuing area of unhappiness with Congress is immigration policy. Nearly two-thirds of voters still believe border control should be the top priority in the fight against illegal immigration, but they also continue to support a welcoming immigration policy.

Several Republican senators are seeking to amend the law that grants full U.S. citizenship to children born to illegal immigrants in this country, and 61% of voters agree that a child born in the United States to a woman who is here illegally should not automatically become a U.S. citizen.  That’s the highest level of support for changing the existing law found in five years of Rasmussen Reports surveying.

Read the rest of the article with links at Rasmussen Reports


 
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