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RNC punts on leapfrogging states
By James Hohmann
8/4/11 

TAMPA, Fla.— The Republican National Committee decided Thursday to wait until January to determine punishment for Florida and Arizona if they go ahead with plans to schedule early primaries. 

There is a quiet acquiescence that Florida will go ahead with the fifth primary. At the summer meeting here, the rules committee tabled a resolution that could mean terrible hotel rooms, awful seats and fewer guest passes for states that ignore the RNC rules on primary dates — including the Florida delegates, who are hosting next year’s national convention here. 

Missouri and West Virginia, among others, have also discussed moving up their primaries. 

The decision helps ensure continuing uncertainty over the primary calendar and the risks for states that want to be in the ranks of the early states. The four officially sanctioned early states – Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada – are committed to moving their primaries earlier if necessary to preserve their spots at the beginning of the calendar. 

Florida is adamant about going fifth, and Arizona is considering scheduling its primary for the same day or immediately after. 

“All I know is we’re going to be early,” said Florida Republican state chairman David Bitner. “With Arizona jumping around, it really rearranges the table.” 

States have until Oct. 1 to inform the RNC of the day of their nominating convention. If an official state commission established by Florida law decides to go earlier than Arizona, the domino effect could push the Iowa caucuses back into December 2011. 

“The date may change, but the order won’t,” said Iowa state chair Matt Strawn. 

If they schedule their primaries before February, Florida and Arizona are technically set to automatically lose half their delegates, as happened in the 2008 election for Florida and Michigan. That’s a tradeoff the two growing states are willing to make for increased influence in the process. But other Republicans want to retaliate by making the delegates’ experience at the convention less enjoyable. 

With the tension about the calendar building for months, the fight is a flashpoint at the summer meeting between states looking to matter more in the process, early states eager to keep their place at the beginning without moving ever-earlier as in 2008 and other states’ representatives trying to ensure that everyone plays by the same rules. 

The fight may end up being purely academic, with whatever discretionary punishment levied by the rules committee relating to floor seating likely to be waived by the party’s eventual nominee. Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) prevented Florida from being punished at the 2008 Republican National Convention. 

But it’s already prompted Georgia GOP chair Sue Everhart to talk about moving her state’s primary up, so that they can host the debates and candidate visits that Florida’s primed to get. 

“If everyone comes out of the chute early, we will too,” she said, noting that Georgia hasn’t settled on a date for its primary yet. 

Michigan committeeman Saul Anuzis opposed Thursday’s resolution, arguing that the preexisting rules should be allowed to work. 

“My gut feeling is we’re going to have something very similar to 2008,” he said. “That’s assuming that Florida or Arizona don’t go before January 31.” 

Read it at Politico




 
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