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What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls
Saturday, February 12, 2011

Let the budget battle begin.

House Republicans, feeling empowered by an angry electorate, are looking to cut billions of dollars from the federal budget and are now discussing plans to defund the national health care law since repeal has run aground in the Democratic-controlled Senate.

After all, the majority of voters still support repeal of the law and remain convinced that it will drive up the cost and hurt the quality of health care in the country.

As they have from the beginning of the health care debate, voters see cost reduction as more important than ensuring universal coverage. Sixty-two percent (62%) believe reducing the cost of health care is more important than making sure that everyone has health insurance. Just 29% think universal health insurance coverage is more important.

But other than recognizing that budgets at all levels of government have grown too big, some Americans have a lot to learn about where their tax dollars go.

In 1954, the average new house cost just over $10,000, a new car was under $2,000, and gasoline was under 30 cents a gallon. It was also the last year that overall government spending in America declined from one year to the next. But only 60% of Americans believe that to be true. Scott Rasmussen puts that in greater perspective in a new video.

Just 56% of voters recognize that the United States spends about six times as much on national defense as any other nation in the world.

The defense budget is likely to take a sizable cut, so how do voters think those dollars should be reallocated? For one thing, voters overwhelmingly think terrorism is a bigger threat to the country than traditional wars. But they have mixed feelings about refocusing the military toward fighting terrorism.

Nearly half (48%) of voters think America would be a safer place with less spending on the military and some of the savings put into securing the borders.

Half (49%) also believe it is time to pull American troops out of Western Europe and let the Europeans defend themselves. The numbers are similar for Japan, but not South Korea.

Most voters continue to believe that the current policies of the federal government encourage illegal immigration. However, voters are now almost evenly divided over whether it’s better to let the federal government or individual states enforce immigration laws.

The United States has military defense treaties with over 50 nations around the globe from obvious ones like the United Kingdom and Germany to less predictable ones like Costa Rica and Iceland. Rasmussen Reports asked whether the United States should help militarily defend some of these less prominent allies if attacked, but only Australia gets a strong commitment from the American people.

Egypt is arguably America’s strongest Arab ally, but while voters aren’t convinced that changing the government there is good for the United States, they still feel strongly that America should stay out of the political crisis engulfing the country.

With the crisis in Egypt dominating the headlines, most voters give good marks to America’s chief diplomat, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton. Sixty percent (60%) hold at least a somewhat favorable opinion of Clinton. Forty-four percent (44%) have at least a somewhat favorable regard for Secretary of Defense Robert Gates.

The United Nations has been conspicuously absent from the diplomatic activity surrounding the political crisis in Egypt, but few U.S. voters lack an opinion of the New York-based international organization. Only 27% of voters regard the UN as an ally of the United States, while 15% see the organization as an enemy. Fifty-four percent (54%) put it somewhere in between the two. This is consistent with findings for some time now.

While congressional Republicans hope to make major cuts in the federal budget, President Obama has plans of his own for the economy. He told the U.S. Chamber of Commerce this week that government and business “can and must work together.” But 68% of voters think government and big business already work together against the interests of consumers and investors.

The Rasmussen Investor Index jumped at week’s end, continuing the growth in investor confidence begun last year. Consumer confidence as measured by the Rasmussen Consumer Index is also up slightly from the first of the year.

Homeowners, on the other hand, continue to hold little hope for the value of their house in the short-term and show no new confidence in long-term recovery. Only 21% of Adults who own a house say its value will go up in the next year. Even when asked about their home’s value in five years, only 51% of homeowners say it will go up.

At the same time, the number of homeowners who say their home is worth more than what they still owe on their mortgage (51%) has fallen to its lowest level in nearly two years.

Interestingly, despite the anemic economy, half of all Americans now own stocks, bonds or mutual funds, but most are also unaware of that fact. But then while the United States boasts the world’s largest economy, fewer than half the nation’s voters (45%) recognize this fact.

Whichever economic course they follow, the president and Congress better be careful. Economists still argue about what caused the Great Depression of the 1930s and what got the nation out of it. But 43% of voters think government policy mistakes converted a normal recession into an unprecedented Depression. Just 26% disagree, although 31% are not sure.

The economy is sure be central to the upcoming presidential election, and an early look at potential 2012 match-ups indicates that the contest is likely to be a referendum on Obama. That’s typical when an incumbent runs for reelection. The numbers show that Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee essentially run even with the president at this point. Three other well-known potential candidates, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul, trail Obama.
On Friday, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll found that 50% of voters at least somewhat approved of the president’s performance, while 49% disapproved.

Read the article, with links, at Rasmussen Reports


 
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