Phil shadow means 6 more weeks of winter
Day is upon us, and Americans tuned in from around the country Thursday
to watch Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow, which means six more weeks
winter. As Jason Samenow reported:
a.m. this morning, amidst mostly cloudy skies, and temperatures in the
Groundhog Phil saw his shadow in the little town of Punxsutawney, Pa.
Phil’s “brother” may be dead and stuffed, but he didn’t let that stop
making a prediction.
to folklore, Phil’s sighting of his own shadow means there will be 6
of winter. Had Phil not seen his shadow, it would have meant “there
will be an
forecast is right, it signals a dramatic reversal from the mild weather
affecting much of the country. Many parts of the central and eastern
seen temperatures 20 to 30 degrees above normal in recent days. On
just 19% of the Lower 48 had snow cover compared to 52% at this time
odds heavily favor a forecast for winter to last deep into March. Since
Groundhog’s first prediction in 1887, Phil has seen his shadow 99 times
failed to spot it just 16 times. There are 9 missing years in the
Phil has issued a forecast without exception.
how accurate is the prognosticator of prognosticators?
on the source.
official Web site of Punxsutawney Phil, perhaps not impartial, claims
Groundhog has issued a correct forecast 100% of the time.
grade for the groundhog’s accuracy is slightly lower, but still quite
Phil’s prediction generates national headlines very year, some watchers
the use of a groundhog to make predictions about seasonal weather. As
Petri wrote in the satire blog ComPost:
Phil saw his shadow. And now we’ve got six more weeks of winter on our
does he know?
groundhog, for Pete’s sake. How can he tell if winter will endure or
Americans spend a lot of their time listening to hairy individuals
predictions that they are in no way qualified to make. Were that not
most AM radio hosts would be out of a job. Cable television would go
I’m down on
the whole human side of prognostication after months of being told that
race was in its final two-candidate stage every time a butterfly
wings somewhere in the Andes or Ron Paul blinked especially hard. Six
winter pale in comparison to the prospect of four more months of
That’s the sort of shadow that makes you want to return to your burrow,
Punxsutawney say about the race? He probably knows as much as anyone.
D.C.’s winter prognosticator, Potomac Phil agreed with his fellow
a ceremony in Dupont Circle about an hour after Phil’s prediction. As
Fazeli Fard reported :
Punxsutawney Phil’s word wasn’t quite good enough, we now have
from his D.C. brother: Six more weeks of winter.
Phil, the taxidermied critter who made his debut at the District’s
Groundhog Day celebration Thursday morning, saw his shadow about 8:40
divination came more than an hour after Punxsutawney Phil saw his
Gobbler’s Knob in Pennsylvania.
to groundhog lore, if Phil sees his shadow, we have to endure winter a
prediction, there was no sign of wintry weather as five dozen or so
gathered at the fountain in Dupont Circle.
Drawn in by
the sound of pre-recorded polka music and the promise of free,
cookies, adults and children alike danced, posed for pictures and even
with a groundhog puppet.
story with a video at the Washington Post