Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls
January 07, 2012
weathered old gunslinger who has to face down every newcomer who thinks
faster on the draw, Mitt Romney has yet another challenger stepping out
pack. First it was Michele Bachmann followed by Rick Perry; then it was
Cain. Next came Newt Gingrich, and now it’s Rick Santorum.
photo finish with Romney in last Tuesday’s Iowa caucuses, Santorum is
second place among Republican voters in the race for the party’s 2012
presidential nomination. Romney’s
in first place with support from 29%, followed by Santorum with 21%.
who led in late November with 38% of the vote, now runs third with 16%.
Congressman Ron Paul, the third place finisher in Iowa, picks up 12% of
vote, up from eight percent (8%) in the previous survey.
short term, Romney doesn’t appear to have any worries. Next up is the
the-nation New Hampshire primary on Tuesday, and the former
governor is pulling far ahead. His
nearest rival now trails him by more than 20 points.
before the primary, Scott Rasmussen will host a political talk show,
Hampshire Thinks with Scott Rasmussen,” in partnership with WBIN-TV,
Derry, N.H. The 9
pm Eastern program on
Monday will include new Rasmussen Reports numbers on the New Hampshire
race. Segments from the program will be released Tuesday on the
has focused little on New Hampshire and instead is counting on the
South Carolina primary to give his candidacy momentum for the long
two months ago, the former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania had only one
(1%) support among likely South Carolina Republican Primary voters. Now
running a close second there with 24% of the vote.
Romney’s still in the lead with 27% support.
Gingrich is in third with 18%, followed by Paul at 11%.
remains the most competitive Republican presidential contender as far
President Obama is concerned, with the two men running even again this
week. A generic
Republican candidate now
holds a narrow lead over Obama as has been the case in all but three
surveys since late May. But
Romney, Obama leads all the named GOP candidates.
still trails the president by 10 points – 49% to 39% - in a
general election matchup surveyed the night before the Iowa caucuses. Obama receives his highest
level of support
yet against former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman – 46% to 33% - in their
Republican primary voters nationwide see Romney as the strongest
Obama, but regardless of who wins their party’s nomination, most of
voters are confident their candidate will win the White House in
regardless of party affiliation, identify all of the leading Republican
presidential contenders as ideological conservatives but see Romney and
the least conservative of the group.
2011 with a slight improvement in his job approval rating, but it was
lower than at the beginning of the year.
president got some good news at week’s end, however, with the report
national unemployment rate fell a bit further last month to 8.5%. That
development was correctly anticipated by the Rasmussen Employment Index
December which rose to its highest level since November 2010. The index which measures
of the labor market is now two points higher than it was at the start
Rasmussen Consumer and Investor Indexes, which measure daily confidence
those groups, were up slightly at the end of the week but still down
points from where they were a year ago.
Nearly 60% of consumers and investors continue
to think the country is
in a recession.
final day of 2011, 36% of American adults rated their own finances as
excellent. That was
the most optimistic
assessment of the month and highlighted a trend of modestly improving
confidence during the final two months of the year.
At the same
time, the number of Americans who expect to be earning more money in a
time has fallen to a record low (30%), while those who expect to be
less than they are now is at its highest level in two-and-a-half years
17%. A plurality
(47%) of working
Americans feels their best opportunity for career advancement is to
and fewer (29%) believe their next job will be better than their
one. The latter
marks the lowest level
of confidence measured since November 2010.
percent (39%) of Americans know someone who joined the military because
bad job market, and most adults (57%) feel that veterans like those now
returning from Iraq should be given special consideration when applying
private sector job.
those who need jobs, enough is enough as far as most voters are
it comes to the Occupy Wall Street protesters.
In fact, 51% of Likely U.S. Voters now view
the protesters as a public
think the Occupy Wall Street movement will hurt the Democratic Party in
continue to hold a modest lead over Democrats on the Generic
Ballot as they have every week but one since June 2009, meaning
voters are likely to vote for the GOP candidate in the next
don’t care for the Congress they currently have. Forty-eight percent
believe that most members of Congress are corrupt, the most pessimistic
assessment to date.
number of Republicans in the country
increased by a percentage point in December, while the number of
back two points to the lowest level ever recorded by Rasmussen Reports. During December, 35.4% of
considered themselves Republicans, while just 32.7% said they were
The number of voters not affiliated with either of the major political
rose to 32.0%.