Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls
Carolina: Gingrich 33%, Romney 31%, Paul 15%
January 21, 2012
there were four. The South Carolina Primary claimed two of the
hopefuls this past week – Jon Huntsman and Rick Perry – before a single
was cast. Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich are now running nearly even,
all the charges in the air, who knows if that will last until the votes
counted this evening?
surged ahead of Romney 33% to 31% in the final Rasmussen Reports survey
South Carolina Republican Primary race taken Wednesday evening. Two days
earlier, before a strong debate
showing by Gingrich and Sarah Palin’s endorsement of the former House
it was Romney by 14 percentage points.
Congressman Ron Paul ran third on Wednesday with 15% of the vote,
former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum at 11%. Paul’s support held steady
Santorum’s support dropped five points since Monday.
At the beginning of the month, after
Santorum’s strong showing in the Iowa caucuses, he ran second to Romney
24%. Perry pulled two percent (2%) support Wednesday evening but has
out of the race.
nearly one-in-three primary voters (31%) said they could change their
and it’s unclear how Perry’s withdrawal, the growing dispute over
taxes or a televised interview Thursday evening with one of Gingrich’s
wives might impact the contest.
been a similar tightening of the national race for the Republican
nomination with Romney still on top but Gingrich just three points
behind – 30%
to 27%. Santorum, who was running second two weeks ago, has now dropped
and Paul captures 13% support from likely GOP primary voters
was still in the race at that time but earns just four percent (4%).
Romney’s support is essentially unchanged, Gingrich’s jumped
11 points from 16% two weeks ago. This suggests that many voters are
looking for an alternative to Romney and currently see Gingrich as that
looking for that alternative is the Tea Party. Who are the Tea Party
these days? Among other things we’ve found in our recent data: 59% are
women; 61% are over the age of 50, a bit older than the population at
and they’re more closely affiliated with the GOP than they were when
movement first began nearly three years ago.
Republican candidate continues to lead President Obama in a
Election 2012 matchup as has been the case nearly every week since late
Romney also remains the only named GOP hopeful who runs competitively
within single digits of Obama – 47% to 38% - in their latest matchup.
week, the president held a similar 46% to 38% lead over Gingrich, but
the first time since early December that the incumbent didn’t post a
double-digit lead over this Republican challenger.
president has a 10-point lead over Santorum – 48% to 38% - in their
several of Romney’s rivals questioning his tenure at the Bain Capital
investment firm, voters are closely divided over whether his business
a plus or a minus, but most Republicans see it as a plus. Additionally,
plurality of all voters think Romney would do a better job than Obama
with the economy.
still put a lot more faith in the private sector than in government
comes to making the economy work. Seventy percent (70%) of adults think
market economy is better than one managed by the government.
Americans give mixed marks to the type of capitalism practiced in this
Just 34% view the U.S. economy as free market capitalism. Thirty-nine
(39%) say the country has a system of crony capitalism in which the
successful businesses have a close relationship with influential
As far as
the GOP presidential race is concerned, “where the numbers move as the
unfolds may depend on whether Romney is seen as free market Mitt or a
capitalist,” Scott Rasmussen explains in his latest syndicated column,
Romney, Will Free Markets or Crony Capitalism Be on Trial?” “To be seen as a defender
of free markets,
the former Massachusetts governor will have to do more than point to
record as a venture capitalist. He will need to challenge the status
than defend it.”
will continue to rely on either cable or traditional television news to
with politics this year, but the Internet will provide the election
for a quarter of the nation.
continue to hold a small lead over Democrats on the Generic
Ballot as they have virtually every week since June 2009.
support a candidate who promises to raise taxes only on the rich over
opposes all tax hikes, but roughly half feel tax increases of any kind
hurt the nation’s economy.
that the government will do too much responding to the bad economy has
its highest level in seven months after falling to a three-year low in
December. Most voters (57%) also continue to think one of the things
government has already done - bail out banks, auto companies and
companies - was bad for the country.
Rasmussen Consumer and Investor Indexes ended the week just slightly
where they were a year ago. Two-out-of-three consumers and investors
the country is currently in a recession.
among homeowners that home values will increase during the next few
the strongest it has been in a year, as is confidence that their homes
worth more than what they still owe. Twenty-one percent (21%) now
home will be worth more in a year, the highest result measured since
2011. Still, 27% say their home will be worth less in a year’s time,
expect its value to remain about the same. Forty-five percent (45%)
home will be worth more in five years, also the highest level of
the past year.
percent (50%) of Americans think they will be paying higher interest
year from now. The number of Americans who predict higher interest
rates is up
nine points from December’s recent low of 41% but has mostly run in the
national Occupy movement is the latest to question the fairness of U.S.
society, but most Americans continue to reject that point of view.
percent (61%) of voters think U.S. society is generally fair and
29% disagree and think it is basically unfair and discriminatory.
celebrated Martin Luther King, Jr. Day this past Monday and still hold
overwhelmingly favorable view of the murdered civil rights hero. But a
plurality also continues to believe the federal holiday honoring King’s
birthday is not good for the racial situation in this country.
of race relations in the United States have grown a bit more negative.
percent (33%) now believe race relations are getting better, but that’s
from 38% last January and the lowest finding in several years.
percent (32%) think those relations are getting worse, while 29% say
about the same.
article with links at Rasmussen