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New Hampshire
Presidential Primary Poll Results
From Dick Bennett
Republican Results
Donald Trumps leads the New Hampshire Republican Presidential
preference primary with 21%, but 57% of likely Republican primary
voters in New Hampshire say they would never vote for Trump in the
primary.
In the ballot, Trump is followed by Marco Rubio at 15%, John Kasich at
13%, Chris Christie at 12%, Ted Cruz at 10%, Jeb Bush at 7%, Ben Carson
at 6%, Carly Fiorina at 5%, and Rand Paul at 4%.
Details of the live-interview survey conducted December 20-22 among 600
likely NH Republican primary voters can be found here.
Among registered Republicans (55% of likely Republican primary voters),
Rubio leads with 16%, followed by Kasich and Trump at 15% each,
Christie at 14%, and Bush and Cruz at 10% each.
While Trump leads with 27% among men (Christie is at 13%, Cruz at 12%,
Kasich at 11, Rubio at 10%, and Bush at 5% among men), Rubio leads with
20% among women (Kasich is at 16%, Trump at 15%, and Bush and Christie
at 10% each among women).
Also, the race is much closer among those likely Republican primary
voters saying the will definitely vote in the primary. Trump leads with
19%, followed by Kasich and Rubio at 15% each, Christie at 13%, Cruz at
10%, and Bush at 8%.
When asked it they would consider voting for each of the candidates,
83% say they would consider voting for Rubio, 81% say they would
consider voting for Kasich, 80% say they would consider voting for
Christie, 74% say they would consider voting for Cruz, 50% say they
would consider voting for Bush, and 37% say they would consider voting
for Trump.
On the flip side, 57% of likely Republican primary voters say they
would never vote for Trump, 47% say they would never vote for Bush, and
40% say they would never vote for Paul.
"Donald Trump is a weak frontrunner fortunate to have a crowded field,"
according to Dick Bennett, president of the American Research Group.
"Rubio, Kasich, Christie, and Cruz combined have half of vote compared
to 21% for Trump. And with 57% of likely Republican primary voters
saying they would never voter for Trump, his upside is limited."
Democrat Results
Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders 46% to 43% in the NH Democratic
presidential preference primary.
Clinton leads among registered Democrats 52% to 37% for Sanders.
Sanders leads among undeclared voters saying they will vote in the
Democratic primary 54% to 36% for Clinton.
Details of the live-interviewer telephone survey can be found here.
Sanders leads among men 46% to 42% for Clinton. Clinton leads among
women 49% to 41% for Sanders. Women, obviously, put Clinton in the lead.
Martin O'Malley receives support of 3% overall.
While Clinton and Sanders ballot numbers are within the margin of
error, there is a 77% probability that Clinton is in the lead.
Have a great Christmas.
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